Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump)

President of the United States. His posts move oil, tariffs and markets in real time.

Predictions & track record (8)

• Awaiting grading Trump says he's 'close' to a decision on a massive attack on Iran, Axios reportsCheck within roughly two weeks whether the US actually carries out the strike on Iran that Trump described as bigger than ever before, or whether the rhetoric fades without action as it has before.
• Awaiting grading Trump says approval of the newly announced US-Saudi civil nuclear deal now hinges on Saudi Arabia joining the Abraham AccordsCheck in the coming months whether Saudi Arabia agrees to join the Abraham Accords and whether the US-Saudi civil nuclear deal proceeds through Congress and IAEA review.
• Awaiting grading Iran threatens to hit energy sites if the US bombs its power plants over Hormuz shotsGrade within the next few weeks whether either side follows through, an actual US strike on an Iranian power plant or bridge, or an Iranian strike on an energy site, or whether the standoff stays rhetorical.
• Awaiting grading Trump threatens to bomb an Iranian bridge or power plant for every shot fired in the Strait of HormuzCheck in the following weeks whether Iran fires at a ship in the Strait of Hormuz again, and if so, whether the US follows through with a strike on an Iranian bridge or power plant as Trump warned.
• Awaiting grading SK hynix denies buying Intel's Ohio fab, but doesn't rule out a joint ventureCheck in the coming months whether SK hynix and Intel announce a joint venture or acquisition deal for the Ohio site.
• Awaiting grading Trump sets 2-year tariff grace period for generic drugs, then 100%, then 200%Check whether the zero percent tariff on generic drugs actually rises to 100% around August 2028 as scheduled, or whether the policy is delayed or changed before then.
• Awaiting grading Trump signs a fresh 50% tariff on Canadian goods, effective in 30 daysScore later: do these tariffs actually take effect around 2026-08-19 as scheduled, or get negotiated down, delayed, or challenged before then?
• Awaiting grading Washington reportedly eyes tougher curbs on Chinese AI after Moonshot's Kimi K3Score later: does Washington actually issue formal hosting-liability rules, a procurement ban, or an export blacklist targeting Chinese AI models in the following weeks or months?

25 related posts

• Watch Trump says Xi and Putin both pledged not to sell weapons to Iran Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) · 2026-07-24
• Watch Trump opens Section 301 probe into EU over fines on Apple, Meta, Amazon and Google, threatens tariffs in response Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) · 2026-07-24
• Watch US forced-labor tariff hits Korea at 12.5% starting today, worse terms than Taiwan and the EU 메르 (ranto28) · 2026-07-24
• Watch Trump says he's 'close' to a decision on a massive attack on Iran, Axios reports The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) · 2026-07-23
• Watch Trump says approval of the newly announced US-Saudi civil nuclear deal now hinges on Saudi Arabia joining the Abraham Accords Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) · 2026-07-23
• Bull Iran's foreign minister and parliament speaker both threaten wider retaliation over Hormuz The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) · 2026-07-22
• Bull Iran threatens to hit energy sites if the US bombs its power plants over Hormuz shots The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) · 2026-07-22
• Bull Trump threatens to bomb an Iranian bridge or power plant for every shot fired in the Strait of Hormuz Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) · 2026-07-22
• Watch China's EV export playbook looks like a preview of its AI strategy Doomberg · 2026-07-22
• Watch Samsung reportedly in talks to invest up to €1B in France's Mistral AI at a €20B valuation Jukan (@jukan05) · 2026-07-22
• Watch China's rare-earth magnet exports to the US sink to lowest monthly average since 2021, despite October truce The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) · 2026-07-22
• Watch SK hynix denies buying Intel's Ohio fab, but doesn't rule out a joint venture Jukan (@jukan05) · 2026-07-22
• Watch Trump sets 2-year tariff grace period for generic drugs, then 100%, then 200% Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) · 2026-07-21
• Watch Trump and UK's new PM talk North Sea oil and Hormuz Strait demining in first call Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) · 2026-07-20
• Watch Trump signs a fresh 50% tariff on Canadian goods, effective in 30 days The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) · 2026-07-20
• Watch Washington reportedly eyes tougher curbs on Chinese AI after Moonshot's Kimi K3 Jukan (@jukan05) · 2026-07-20
• Watch Trump cheers a new UK plan to 'open up' North Sea oil, and pull down the windmills Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) · 2026-07-19
• Watch Trump's Truth Social to sell a $100K/month 'Truth API', his posts, a millisecond early, for the algos 메르 (ranto28) · 2026-07-19
• Bull Hanwha's Philly Shipyard lands its first US defense job: two 'Golden Dome' missile-tracking ships 메르 (ranto28) · 2026-07-19
• Bull Trump spikes the football on June CPI, 'biggest monthly price drop in six years' Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) · 2026-07-17
• Bull Trump touts TSMC's record $265B Arizona chip bet, 'build here, and NO TARIFFS' Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) · 2026-07-17
• Trump calls datacenters 'liquid gold' and puts New York on blast for banning them Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) · 2026-07-16
• America's China curbs crack open an ESS window for Korea's battery trio 메르 (ranto28) · 2026-07-15
• Blockade first, toll later: reading Trump's Hormuz play 메르 (ranto28) · 2026-07-14
• Trump kills the Hormuz toll and swaps it for Gulf capital Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) · 2026-07-14