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Fed Chair
Kevin Warsh
Chair of the US Federal Reserve, known for declining to signal decisions in advance.
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Predictions & track record (2)
Awaiting grading
Why did all three dissents at the Fed's fifth straight hold argue for a hike?
Score at the September FOMC: a hike, or hawkish dissents growing to four or more, counts for the three who dissented.
Awaiting grading
The 10-Year yield just topped last year's tariff-panic peak. Is Iran the reason, or is it the Fed?
Check whether the 10-Year yield keeps climbing past this level toward 5% or whether it retreats as Iran war tensions ease over the following two to three weeks.
2 related posts
Watch
Why did all three dissents at the Fed's fifth straight hold argue for a hike?
The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) · 2026-07-29
Bear
The 10-Year yield just topped last year's tariff-panic peak. Is Iran the reason, or is it the Fed?
The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) · 2026-07-23