long-term bond

A government bond with a long maturity, such as a 10-year or 30-year Treasury.

Predictions & track record (3)

• Awaiting grading The U.S. Treasury will borrow more, but long-term issuance stays flatOn November 4, 2026, check whether long-term auction sizes increase or short-term bill issuance rises materially in the next quarterly borrowing plan.
• Awaiting grading Japanese insurers just made their biggest bond purchase in three years. Is the buyer finally back?Check whether Japanese insurers post a third straight month of net buying in JGBs when July 2026 flow data is released, which would confirm this is a real trend rather than a one-off.
• Awaiting grading America's borrowing bill is climbing, and AI is helping push it upGrade at end of Q3 2026: did the 30-year US Treasury yield break above the May 20th peak of 5.20%?

3 related posts

• Watch The U.S. Treasury will borrow more, but long-term issuance stays flat 메르 (ranto28) · 2026-08-07
• Watch Japanese insurers just made their biggest bond purchase in three years. Is the buyer finally back? The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) · 2026-07-23
• Bear America's borrowing bill is climbing, and AI is helping push it up The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) · 2026-07-19