Treasury yield

Treasury yield, the interest rate the US government pays to borrow money by selling bonds.

Predictions & track record (6)

• Awaiting grading The 10-Year Treasury Yield Hit 4.7% and Oil Got the Blame. So Why Didn't Inflation Expectations Move?Check whether the August 5, 2026 US Treasury quarterly refunding statement drops the "at least" language guaranteeing stable auction sizes, which would signal more Treasury issuance ahead.
• Awaiting grading Trump says he's 'close' to a decision on a massive attack on Iran, Axios reportsCheck within roughly two weeks whether the US actually carries out the strike on Iran that Trump described as bigger than ever before, or whether the rhetoric fades without action as it has before.
• Awaiting grading US 10-Year Treasury yield breaks above 4.70% for the first time since January 2025, topping last year's Liberation Day peakCheck whether the 10-Year yield keeps climbing past this level toward 5% or whether it retreats as Iran war tensions ease over the following two to three weeks.
• Awaiting grading S&P 500 erases $900 billion in market cap in a single day as Nasdaq 100 drops over 2.5% on Iran war escalation and tech earningsCheck whether the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 recover this single-day loss within a week, or whether the selloff deepens as the Iran war continues.
• Awaiting grading Bitcoin ETFs pull in $900 million in a week, the fastest pace since early MayCheck in two weeks whether Bitcoin ETF weekly inflows keep accelerating past the $900M mark or fade back toward the prior week's $197M pace.
• Awaiting grading 10-Year Treasury yield nears 4.70% high as Iran war adds 70bp premiumCheck whether the 10-Year yield breaks above the 4.70% 52-week high and the 30-Year stays above 5.00%, or whether yields retreat as Iran war tensions ease.

9 related posts

• Watch The 10-Year Treasury Yield Hit 4.7% and Oil Got the Blame. So Why Didn't Inflation Expectations Move? 메르 (ranto28) · 2026-07-25
• Watch The S&P 500's Iran War Selloff Was Actually Three Different Days, and Iran Wasn't the Main Reason for Most of Them The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) · 2026-07-24
• Watch Iran rejects a US-brokered ceasefire pushed by Iraqi mediators, and the war enters its 145th day, market commentator Kobeissi reports The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) · 2026-07-24
• Watch Trump says he's 'close' to a decision on a massive attack on Iran, Axios reports The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) · 2026-07-23
• Bear US 10-Year Treasury yield breaks above 4.70% for the first time since January 2025, topping last year's Liberation Day peak The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) · 2026-07-23
• Bear S&P 500 erases $900 billion in market cap in a single day as Nasdaq 100 drops over 2.5% on Iran war escalation and tech earnings The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) · 2026-07-23
• Bull Bitcoin ETFs pull in $900 million in a week, the fastest pace since early May The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) · 2026-07-22
• Bear 10-Year Treasury yield nears 4.70% high as Iran war adds 70bp premium The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) · 2026-07-22
• Watch SpaceX's bonds crater weeks after the IPO: the credit market's warning to Musk 메르 (ranto28) · 2026-07-20