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VOLATILITY
後藤達也 (Tatsuya Goto) · 2026-07-19 · original: JA

Goto on keeping your head as memory and semis whipsaw

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Tatsuya Goto, an ex-Nikkei reporter turned one of Japan's most-followed independent markets explainers, published a 'core column' with a plain title: how to steady your mindset when share prices swing wildly. The piece sits behind note.com's paywall, so only the framing is public, but the timing tells the story. July has been brutal for memory and semiconductor names: SK Hynix and Samsung have lurched, US chip stocks have sold off hard, and Japan's newly-listed memory maker Kioxia has whipsawed double digits as a Chinese rival heads for its own IPO and investors relitigate whether 'this time is different' for the memory cycle. Into that noise, Goto's message, readable straight from the title, is about temperament rather than a trade: build a mental framework for volatility in advance, so you react to your plan, not to the tape. There is no price target and no forecast here; it is the investor-psychology counterweight to a week of red screens. For readers whiplashed by the memory selloff, the useful question is not which way the next candle prints, but whether their own rules survive a 10%-down open.

Why it matters · Volatility punishes reactive investors more than wrong ones; a pre-built mindset is the edge that survives a 10%-down open.

Worth asking · When memory swings 10% before lunch, do you trust your plan, or your gut?